Back to all features | Feature 8: Trade-Investment Correlation

Trade-Investment Correlation

Explore the relationship between bilateral trade flows and FDI for Bangladesh with key partner economies. Powered by UN COMTRADE and IMF CDIS data. [7][2]

Dual-Axis Chart Pearson Correlation TINA
PROTOTYPE — DUMMY FUNCTIONALITY ONLY
This is an interactive mockup demonstrating a proposed TINA feature. Trade data is based on TINA's existing methodology[7], FDI data is estimated from IMF CDIS patterns[2]. The correlation calculation and partner switching[7][2] use static sample data — not connected to any live API. ~ estimated = based on source methodology ∅ dummy = illustrative sample

Select a partner economy to compare bilateral trade and FDI correlation. Trade data from TINA[7], FDI from IMF CDIS[2].

$9.2B[7]
Total Trade (2025)
$4.5B[2]
FDI Stock from Partner
0.72
Correlation (Trade ↔ FDI) [7][2]
Strong positive
Bilateral Trade & FDI Trends [7][2] 📌 BD-US TICFA (2013) 📌 COVID-19 (2020) 📌 BD-US ART signed (2026)
Trade-Investment Nexus Analysis [7][2]

Bilateral trade and FDI show a strong positive correlation of 0.72 for Bangladesh-United States.[7][2]

Trend Line: FDI = -12.34 + 0.052 × Trade (USD B) [7][2]
Top Traded Goods vs Top Investment Sectors [7][2]
Exports to Partner
Garments Textiles Footwear
Imports from Partner
Machinery Cotton Vehicles
Investment Sectors
Energy Manufacturing Banking

LDC Graduation Insight

As Bangladesh loses zero-tariff access, export volumes may decline. The trade-investment correlation (0.72)[7][2] suggests this could also reduce FDI from key partners. Negotiating investment chapters in FTAs (like the BD-Japan EPA and BD-US ART) can help mitigate this by providing a separate legal basis for investment protection even if trade preferences erode.

Data Sources

TINA Trade Database ✅ Available [7]
UN COMTRADE — HS6-level bilateral trade flows
Already in TINA • Existing TINA feature
IMF CDIS Bilateral FDI ✅ CSV export [2]
2009–present, 120+ economies
data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.STA:DIP
World Bank WDI (GDP — for normalization) ✅ REST API
https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/BD/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?format=json
Implementation note: This feature requires minimal new development since TINA already has all the trade data[7]. Only IMF CDIS FDI data needs to be ingested[2]. The dual-axis chart is a standard Chart.js configuration already used in other TINA features[7].

References

  1. IMF, "Coordinated Direct Investment Survey (CDIS)," data.imf.org, 2026. https://data.imf.org/en/datasets/IMF.STA:DIP
  2. ESCAP, "TINA — Trade Intelligence and Negotiation Adviser," tina.trade, 2026. https://tina.trade/